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	<title>Jim Vermilya</title>
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	<description>Your Resource for OC Real Estate Success</description>
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		<title>Worst of price declines over.  #PCRSM #Realestate</title>
		<link>http://www.jimvermilya.com/worst-of-price-declines-over-pcrsm-realestate/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jimvermilya.com/worst-of-price-declines-over-pcrsm-realestate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 17:01:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Thought you might be interested in this article about home sales rising.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Homebuilding-forecast-Modest-apf-4025770964.html?x=0&#38;.v=2

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<p>Thought you might be interested in this article about home sales rising.</p>
<p><a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Homebuilding-forecast-Modest-apf-4025770964.html?x=0&amp;.v=2">http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Homebuilding-forecast-Modest-apf-4025770964.html?x=0&amp;.v=2</a></p>
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		<title>Welcome to Prudential CA Realty in Laguna Beach</title>
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		<comments>http://www.jimvermilya.com/welcome-to-prudential-ca-realty-in-laguna-beach/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Nov 2009 04:17:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Agent Resources]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I have included a quick little video introducing myself and our office.  If you are interested in a career in Real Estate, or you are ready to make a change, I think you will find some value in this quick clip!  Thanks for stopping by, enjoy!
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have included a quick little video introducing myself and our office.  If you are interested in a career in Real Estate, or you are ready to make a change, I think you will find some value in this quick clip!  Thanks for stopping by, enjoy!</p>
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		<title>Check Out This Article about Home Sales Out Of Control. Real Estate #PCRSM #RealEstate</title>
		<link>http://www.jimvermilya.com/check-out-this-article-about-home-sales-out-of-control-real-estate-pcrsm-realestate/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 22:37:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[

    


Check out this articile about home sales out of control.
Home sales rise to highest level in 2.5 years
Only a 7-month supply of homes on market; bidding wars are erupting


I
Reed Saxon / AP
October home sales rose 10.1 percent, beating expectations, as tax credit spurred sales.
&#160;View related photos







Video














&#160;&#160;Realty Check: Existing Home SalesSales of [...]]]></description>
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<p>Check out this articile about home sales out of control.</p>
<h1>Home sales rise to highest level in 2.5 years</h1>
<h2>Only a 7-month supply of homes on market; bidding wars are erupting</h2>
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<td valign="top" width="1%" style="padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 15px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 25px;">I<a><img title="Home Sales" src="http://msnbcmedia3.msn.com/j/ap/4d38144f-c115-4f8a-a8d9-bcfd803ad6b0.h2.jpg" border="0" height="275" alt="Home Sales" width="375" style="border: #000000 1px solid;" /></a>
<div class="credit aR">Reed Saxon / AP</div>
<div class="caption" style="padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 10px;">October home sales rose 10.1 percent, beating expectations, as tax credit spurred sales.</div>
<div style="display: none; padding: 0px;"><a href="http://posterous.com/id/34108108/displaymode/1176/rstry/34105403/"><img src="http://posterous.com/images/icons/slideshow.gif" border="0" height="14" alt="" width="20" style="" /></a>&nbsp;<a href="http://posterous.com/id/34108108/displaymode/1176/rstry/34105403/" class="textMedBlackBold">View related photos</a></div>
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<div style="background-image: ; text-align: center; background-color: #cccccc; height: 100%;"><a><img src="http://msnbcmedia4.msn.com/j/MSNBC/Components/Video/__NEW/CNBC/c_thecall_realtycheckexistinghomesa_091123.vsmall.jpg" border="0" height="111" alt="" width="148" style="border: #000000 1px solid;" /></a>
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<div class="textHang"><span class="textMedBlackBold"><a title="Click to view video: &quot;Realty Check: Existing Home Sales&quot;" class="icoVid">&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a>Realty Check: Existing Home Sales</a></span><br /><span class="textMed">Sales of existing homes jumped, but&nbsp;commercial real estate has further to fall,&nbsp;with CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick.</span></div>
<p class="credit">CNBC</p>
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<div style="background-image: ; text-align: center; background-color: #cccccc; height: 100%;"><a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/33449976/ns/business-real_estate"><img src="http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/j/MSNBC/Components/ArtAndPhoto-Fronts/BUSINESS/EVERGREEN/TEASES/tz-ForeclosuresCluster3.vsmall.jpg" border="0" height="111" alt="" width="148" style="border: #000000 1px solid;" /></a>
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<div class="textHang"><span class="textMedBlackBold"><a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/33449976/ns/business-real_estate">Foreclosure rates by state</a></span><br /><span class="textMed">Foreclosure rates tend to be highest in four key states. Click to see the progression for every state since 2005.</span></div>
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<div style="padding-bottom: 20px;"><img src="http://switch.atdmt.com/action/msnus_msnbc_business_040607" height="1" alt="" width="1" /></div>
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<div class="textTimestamp"><span>updated 54 minutes ago</span>    </div>
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<p class="textBodyBlack">WASHINGTON &#8211; Home <a href="http://posterous.com/posts/new/#" class="iAs" target="_blank" style="background-image: none; padding-bottom: 1px !important; background-color: transparent !important; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; color: darkgreen !important; font-size: 100% !important; font-weight: normal !important; text-decoration: underline !important; padding-top: 0px;">sales</a> surged for the second month in a row in October, climbing to the highest level in 2 1/2 years as first-time buyers rushed to take advantage of an expiring tax credit.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Home sales nationwide are now up nearly 36 percent from their bottom in January, data Monday showed, though they are still 16 percent below the peak in autumn 2005. At the current sales pace, there is only a 7-month supply of homes on the market and in some areas there are bidding wars.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Joey Wilson, 53, and her husband made unsuccessful offers on 20 Las Vegas homes since midsummer before closing on a four-bedroom, $136,000 home this month.</p>
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<div class="textSmallGrey w320"><a href="http://posterous.com/posts/new/#storyContinued">Story continues below &darr;</a><br />
<hr size="1" />  advertisement | <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26613008/">your ad here</a>
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<p>  <a name="storyContinued"></a>
<p class="textBodyBlack">&#8220;It&#8217;s insane,&#8221; said Wilson, who relocated from Kentucky. &#8220;I&#8217;ve never seen a market like this before.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The National Association of Realtors said home resales rose 10.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.1 million in October, from a downwardly revised pace of 5.54 million in September. It was the biggest monthly increase in a decade, and far above the 5.65 million pace expected by economists, according to Thomson Reuters.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Without adjusting for seasonal factors, sales were up 21 percent from a year earlier and were up in all four regions of the country. The gains were led a 26 percent increase in the Midwest. Sales were up 25 percent in the Northeast, 23 percent in the South and 10 percent in the West.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The housing recovery is being driven by lower prices combined with federal programs to lower mortgage rates and bring more buyers into the market. The median sales price was $173,100, down 7 percent from a year earlier and off roughly 2 percent from September.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Many experts predict prices will hit a new low next spring, perhaps falling another 5 to 10 percent, as more foreclosures get pushed onto the market.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The government has tried to counter that trend by offering a tax incentive for first-time buyers and by keeping mortgage rates around 5 percent since the spring.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The tax credit of up to $8,000 for first-time owners was originally set to run out on Nov. 30, but Congress renewed it earlier this month and broadened its reach. People who have owned their current homes for at least five years can now claim a tax credit of up to $6,500 for a home purchase. To qualify, buyers must sign a purchase agreement by April 30.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The Realtors&#8217; report on October home sales reflects offers made before buyers knew the tax credit would be extended.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">&#8220;The incentives really did get people to go out and buy,&#8221; said Wells Fargo economist Adam York. &#8220;The question is: What does the trend look like when the credit is over with?&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Home sales are likely to drop over the winter as buyers hibernate for a few months without the looming tax credit deadline.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The new deadline means &#8220;we&#8217;re going to see some good activity coming out of the spring,&#8221; said Pat Lashinsky, chief executive of online real estate brokerage ZipRealty Inc.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">But the government support can&#8217;t last forever. For example, the Federal Reserve is likely to curtail its effort to push down mortgage rates next year. If rates then rise too high, it would make home purchases less affordable and dampen housing demand.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">&#8220;When we do kick those crutches out from under the housing market, will it be able to stand on its own?&#8221; said Mark Fleming, chief economist with real estate information company First American CoreLogic. &#8220;It&#8217;s really hard to tell.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Another concern is that job losses are pushing once creditworthy homeowners into default. Borrowers with prime, fixed-rate loans accounted for one in three new foreclosures in the second quarter, the Mortgage Bankers Association said last week. Nationwide, a record 14 percent of homeowners with a mortgage were either behind on their payments or in foreclosure.</p>
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<div class="bigRedLink"><a href="http://posterous.com/id/34106087" name="icon_U" title="Updated 1 hour, 9 minutes ago" class="icoUpd">&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href="http://posterous.com/id/34106087/ns/business-stocks_and_economy/?ns=business-stocks_and_economy">Home sales surge helps stocks close higher</a><br /><a href="http://posterous.com/id/34022275/ns/business-forbescom/ns/business-forbescom/">Forbes: World&#8217;s most expensive homes</a><br /><a href="http://posterous.com/id/34039065/ns/business-real_estate/?ns=business-real_estate">Mortgage delinquencies hit record high</a></div>
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<p class="textBodyBlack">And in areas where foreclosures have hit hard, housing remains depressed, despite low prices and mortgage rates and the tax credit.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Cleveland real estate agent Colleen Rock notes that the city&#8217;s economy is still struggling with job losses. Another round of foreclosures could depress prices again.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">&#8220;Just because we&#8217;re stabilizing, I can&#8217;t comfortably tell you we&#8217;re back to a normal market,&#8221; said Rock, an agent with Re/Max Crossroads. &#8220;It might be another year.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Is Social Media A Fad? #RealEstate #PCRSM</title>
		<link>http://www.jimvermilya.com/is-social-media-a-fad-realestate-pcrsm/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 18:39:18 +0000</pubDate>
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<p>Great Video on the Social Media Revolution! <br />Prudential Real Estate Laguna Beach <br /><a href="http://www.prudentialcal.com">www.prudentialcal.com</a></p>
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		<title>Get In The Social Game #realestate #pcrsm</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 21:32:43 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[I thought you would enjoy this article&#8230;
Google&#8217;s got social game
By GahlordDewald
Created 2009-11-03 01:00

Google has added a new tool: Social Search. Accessible via Google Labs [1], Social Search provides results culled from the searcher&#8217;s social media graph.
Just as there are separate tabs in the normal Google search for images, blogs, video, etc., once you opt in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1><b><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; font-weight: normal;">I thought you would enjoy this article&#8230;</span></b></h1>
<h1><b><span style="font-size: 24.0pt;">Google&#8217;s got social game</span></b></h1>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">By <em><i>GahlordDewald</i></em></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Created <em><i>2009-11-03 01:00</i></em></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;"></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Google has added a new tool: Social Search. Accessible via <a href="http://www.googlelabs.com/" title="blocked::http://www.googlelabs.com/" target="_blank">Google Labs</a> <span class="print-footnote">[1]</span>, Social Search provides results culled from the searcher&#8217;s social media graph.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Just as there are separate tabs in the normal Google search for images, blogs, video, etc., once you opt in to the Social Search experiment you&#8217;ll see a new tab for social-enhanced search-engine results.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">For now, I&#8217;d consider this tool pretty bleeding-edge: the requirements for opting in, creating a Google profile and logging in to your Google account will curb the initial group using this tool.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">However, if you wish you had thought more about video for search-engine optimization (SEO) before Google started blending video results into the regular search results, here&#8217;s your chance for one of their next additions.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">For the past year or so, we&#8217;ve all been hearing about and experiencing how social Web activities produce results because social capital carries more meaning and influence than traditional paid advertising or other large-audience, reach-based methods (like SEO).</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">It makes sense at a gut level that decisions like choosing a real estate professional to work with can be influenced by knowing someone who had a positive experience. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Google, being in the business of selling advertising sprinkled around search results, would like to provide the most influential and relevant results to those using their search product. So it only makes sense that they&#8217;d be looking for a way to enhance their search results with sources that are closer, in terms of relationships, to the searcher.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Here&#8217;s how you can try out the new social search tool.</span></p>
<ul type="disc">
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;"><a href="http://www.google.com/profiles" title="blocked::http://www.google.com/profiles" target="_blank">Get a Google Profile</a> <span class="print-footnote">[2]</span> if you don&#8217;t have one already. (Yes, I know, yet another social media profile to manage.) </span></li>
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">In your Google Profile, add all your other social media profiles as &quot;other links.&quot; </span></li>
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;"><a href="http://www.google.com/experimental/index.html" title="blocked::http://www.google.com/experimental/index.html" target="_blank">Go to the Google Labs page</a> <span class="print-footnote">[3]</span>. </span></li>
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Opt in to the Social Search experiment. &#8230;CONTINUED </span></li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">[pagebreak]</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">From here on, when you are logged in to Google and conduct a search, you will be using the Google Labs search, giving you the social search option as a tab under &quot;more options.&quot; You should also know that you can sign up for only one experiment at a time, so make sure none of the others are truly important to you.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">The quality of your results will depend a great deal on the profile links you provide to Google via your profile. If you didn&#8217;t have any social networking profiles, then you won&#8217;t see any results. I also found that it took a couple days to start showing any results at all. So perhaps you might set it up and then try again a couple days later.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Given that this tool is still very much an experiment and not in general use, how might you use it in the meantime?</span></p>
<ul type="disc">
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">General reputation management (assuming your clients have &quot;friended&quot; you on one of your social networks). </span></li>
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Help raise Google&#8217;s awareness of some site or page that it isn&#8217;t indexing for its primary search (though I don&#8217;t think it would help with specific keyword ranking or other SEO heavy-lifting). </span></li>
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Listening to your social networks for topics/themes that are important to your audience. </span></li>
<li style=""><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Locating social network content from your friends that you might link to in your own content. </span></li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">With the rise in importance of social networks to online marketing agendas, Google appears to be developing a tool to layer its core competence (search technology) on top of all that social activity. In many ways, the search function of the individual networking sites present a threat to Google&#8217;s all-encompassing Web search.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">For example, when looking for business information on someone it makes sense to start at LinkedIn&#8217;s search instead of Google because all of the results in LinkedIn will be business-oriented. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Incorporating social graph information into the way Google displays results is a logical step for them. For those using online marketing techniques that rely on being found online and monitoring reputation, observing how this service develops and is rolled out is worthwhile. Just like it was for video results.</span></p>
<p><i><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-style: italic;">Gahlord Dewald is the president and janitor of Thoughtfaucet, a strategic creative services company in Burlington, Vt. He&#8217;s a frequent speaker on applying analytics and data to creative marketing endeavors.</span></i> </p>
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		<title>Rising Real Estate Sales #realestate #PCRSM</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 23:02:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>#realestate #pcrsm Unexpected Good News Realty Times &#8211; Investor Report: Fannie Mae&#8217;s PRP</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 00:32:42 +0000</pubDate>
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Investor Report: Fannie Mae&#8217;s PRP 
by Kenneth R. Harney

Here&#8217;s some unexpected good news for real estate investors and second home   owners facing payment squeezes on their mortgages. 
 
Fannie Mae has just come up with some help for people who don&#8217;t qualify for   the Obama administration&#8217;s &#8220;home affordable modification program,&#8221; also [...]]]></description>
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<div class="newspage_headline">Investor Report: Fannie Mae&#8217;s PRP </div>
<div class="ByLine">by Kenneth R. Harney</div>
<div class="PageContent">
<p>Here&#8217;s some unexpected good news for real estate investors and second home   owners facing payment squeezes on their mortgages. </p>
<div style="FLOAT: right; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px;"><a href="http://www2.realtytimes.com/rtnews/linktracker.ag?Open&amp;TYPE=RealTimes\HouseValues_InnerArticle_C13&amp;LINK=http://info.marketleader.com/form/3252" target="_blank"><img src="http://www2.realtytimes.com/ads/rtads3.nsf/dispcount5.ag?Open&amp;AdID=HouseValues_InnerArticle_C13&amp;rnd=4745708&amp;" border="1" height="250" alt="" width="300" /></a> </div>
<p>Fannie Mae has just come up with some help for people who don&#8217;t qualify for   the Obama administration&#8217;s &#8220;home affordable modification program,&#8221; also known as   &#8220;HAMP.&#8221;   </p>
<p>Starting this week, Fannie will consider requests for temporary payment   reductions on investor and second home loans in its portfolio where borrowers   have either already gone delinquent or are on the verge of falling behind.   </p>
<p>The new program, which Fannie calls the &#8220;Payment Reduction Plan,&#8221; or &#8220;PRP,&#8221;   permits loan servicers of Fannie-owned investment and second home loans to cut   distressed borrowers&#8217; payments by as much as 30 percent per month for as long as   half a year.   </p>
<p>The idea is to provide some transitional time that allows the servicer and   borrowers to figure out the best way to avoid foreclosure.   </p>
<p>Here&#8217;s how it works. First, you&#8217;ve got to be able to show the servicer that   you&#8217;ve encountered a financial hardship, are in danger of going delinquent or   already have, and that you are not eligible for a federal loan modification   program because you&#8217;re an investor or second home owner.   </p>
<p>All of the White House loan relief plans to date have excluded investors and   second home owners, leaving large numbers of distressed owners with nowhere to   go but foreclosure.   </p>
<p>Here&#8217;s how to qualify for the new Fannie program:   </p>
<p>First of all, your loan has to be in Fannie&#8217;s portfolio or in a   mortgage-backed bond that Fannie has guaranteed. Your servicer can tell you   whether that is the case.   </p>
<p>You&#8217;ve also got to be prepared to demonstrate that you have the financial   resources to pay at least 70 percent of your regular monthly payment for the   next six months.   </p>
<p>Even if your loan already is somewhere in the foreclosure process, you might   still get a reprieve &#8212; and lowered payments &#8212; if the scheduled foreclosure   sale is more than 45 days from the date you enter Fannie&#8217;s new payment reduction   plan.   </p>
<p>During the six months of lowered payments, the servicer and you are supposed   to work together to come up with a permanent solution, which could involve   modification of the loan terms.   </p>
<p>However, if at any point in the six month period, you fall behind on your   reduced payments, the whole program could come to a screeching halt. You&#8217;ve got   to pay on time at the lower, agreed upon number, or they pull the plug &#8212; and   you go to foreclosure.   </p>
<p>If you think you might qualify, talk to your loan servicer as soon as   possible.   </p>
<p><i>Published: October 30, 2009</i>  </p>
<p><i>Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal <a href="http://www.loc.gov/copyright" target="_blank">copyright   laws</a>.</i></p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<div class="posterous_quote_citation">via <a href="http://realtytimes.com/rtpages/20091030_investorreport.htm">realtytimes.com</a></div>
<p>You may find this article interesting. Prudential Real Estate Laguna Beach <a href="http://www.prudentialcal.com">www.prudentialcal.com</a></p>
</div>
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		<title>Orange County Market Overview</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2009 17:29:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Orange County Market OVerview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market overview]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Heated First-Time Buyer Market Changes Strategies for Buyers and Sellers US home prices are up two months in a row, says the Federal Housing Finance Agency, overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The Commerce Department reported that August new home starts (a documentation of construction beginnings) rose 1.5% to an annual rate of 598,000. Building [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Heated First-Time Buyer Market Changes Strategies for Buyers and Sellers US home prices are up two months in a row, says the Federal Housing Finance Agency, overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.<br />
The Commerce Department reported that August new home starts (a documentation of construction beginnings) rose 1.5% to an annual rate of 598,000. Building permits rose 2.7% to 579,000. Both figures were the highest since November 2008. The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) reports that in July, the number of pending sales contracts signed increased for the sixth month in a row, largely due<br />
to affordability and federal and state incentives.</p>
<p>Existing home sales inventories fell 10.8% in August to an 8.5-month supply, the lowest level of inventory since April 2007. However, sales closings slowed 2.7% after four months of rising sales volume.<br />
NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted that nationwide, the typical mortgage payment for a median-priced home now represents less than 25% of a family’s monthly income. He added that 2009<br />
payment percentages have been the lowest on record since 1978.<br />
California Home sales volume increased 12% in July compared with the same period a year ago, according to the California Association of<br />
REALTORS®. Record affordability and tax<br />
incentives were the primary drivers.<br />
July 2009 sales prices in the state declined by<br />
19.6% to a median of $285,480, compared<br />
to $355,000 in July 2008.<br />
As the tax credit draws to an end, sales are<br />
rising. Month-to-month sales in July 2009<br />
increased 8.1% over June, and median prices<br />
rose 3.9 % to $285,480 compared to the<br />
June median of $274,740.<br />
“July marked the fifth consecutive month<br />
of month-to-month increases in the median<br />
price,” said C.A.R. Vice President and<br />
Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young.<br />
“This was the largest increase on record for<br />
the month of July, based on statistics dating<br />
back to 1979. The yearly decline in July also<br />
was the smallest in the past 19 months.”<br />
Foreclosures Pressure Prices<br />
Data Quick Information Systems reports<br />
that notices of default in Southern California<br />
were up 3.8% year over year in the second<br />
quarter of 2009. According to Credit Suisse,<br />
40% of Alt-A loans are due to reset in the<br />
next 24 months. Another wave is due to reset<br />
in mid-to-late 2010. The majority of those<br />
loans are Option adjustable rate mortgages.<br />
First-Time Home Buyers Lead the Way<br />
About 67% of first-time home buyers can<br />
now afford to buy a home in California,<br />
compared to 76% of first-timers nationally.<br />
Homes priced under $500,000 accounted<br />
for 74% of the California market in July —<br />
a testament to the strength of the first-time<br />
home buyer. As of June 2009, California<br />
topped all states with a 10% market share of<br />
all FHA lending in the U.S.<br />
Historical Comparisons Favor Today’s<br />
Housing Recession<br />
Surprisingly, California’s current housing<br />
correction isn’t as severe as the one the state<br />
experienced during the recession of the early<br />
1980s, when housing sales plummeted 61%<br />
peak-to-trough between 1978 and 1982.<br />
In comparison, housing sales volume sank<br />
44% between mid-2003 and 2007, and has<br />
steadily risen since that time.<br />
With improved affordability comes demand.<br />
In July 2009, there was a 3.9-month supply<br />
of unsold inventory across the state — down<br />
dramatically from a 16-month supply in<br />
January 2008.<br />
Advice for Buyers<br />
Cash buyers are making it difficult for other<br />
buyers to compete in certain price ranges.<br />
Make it easy for the listing agent and the seller<br />
by offering a complete package so they don’t<br />
have to wonder who you are and whether<br />
you can afford the home. In addition to a<br />
well-written and complete purchase offer,<br />
include the following to show the seller your<br />
offer is as good as cash:<br />
• A personal letter indicating why you would<br />
be a good fit for this home<br />
• Pre-approval from a major lender,<br />
like HomeServices Lending www.hslca.com<br />
• Pre-approval is better than pre-qualification,<br />
since it requires verification of your<br />
employment, income, credit and<br />
other factors<br />
• An earnest money deposit as close to<br />
3% as possible<br />
• Proof of funds for the down payment<br />
and closing costs<br />
You may also want to consider removing<br />
contingencies earlier than called for in the<br />
contract.<br />
Advice for Sellers<br />
Homes in many price ranges below $750,000<br />
are attracting the most qualified buyers the<br />
market has seen in years. However, it’s still<br />
a tale of two markets. Homes priced below<br />
750,000 are selling quickly; for those priced<br />
above $900,000, the buyer has the advantage.<br />
If your property is in this higher price range,<br />
it’s critical to set realistic expectations based<br />
on market conditions. An experienced agent<br />
will help you price your home properly,<br />
market it aggressively, and make it easy for<br />
buyers to see it.<br />
ORANGE COUNTY<br />
Orange County is one of the fastest-moving markets in Southern California, with a hot seller’s<br />
market* in homes priced at or under $899K, and only 11 months of inventory on hand in homes<br />
priced above $900K.<br />
Not since December 2008 have listings been absorbed faster than they enter the market. The number of<br />
listings on the market was down to 3,290 in August 2009 from 3,453 in July. Listings sold were<br />
up to 3,568 units in August from 3,126 sold in July.<br />
Detached single family homes are in a frenzied<br />
seller’s market under $900K, with fewer<br />
homes on hand at $599 or less than it takes<br />
to close a 60-day sale.<br />
Detached Properties &#8211; Inventory in Months<br />
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0<br />
*A seller’s market is characterized by fewer homes than available buyers, often with firm prices and<br />
multiple offers from buyers. A buyer’s market has more homes for sale than available buyers, often<br />
with weaker pricing and larger concessions from sellers. Detached homes have no shared walls with<br />
neighbors. Attached homes have at least one shared wall with neighbors.<br />
According to the price per square foot, active<br />
listings are still oversupplied in the higher<br />
price ranges, as the majority of closings take<br />
place in the affordable ranges.<br />
Attached homes, according to price per<br />
square foot, underscore the higher number<br />
of active listings in higher price ranges,<br />
compared to the closed and pending sales,<br />
suggesting that prices have further to fall.<br />
Attached home listings are doing very well<br />
with homes priced at or under $799K in a<br />
healthy seller’s market.<br />
Attached Properties &#8211; List Prices Per Square Foot by MLS Status<br />
Attached Properties &#8211; Inventory in Months<br />
Detached Properties &#8211; List Prices Per Square Foot by MLS Status<br />
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0<br />
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600<br />
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400<br />
©2009 Prudential California Realty Independently owned and operated. Objective data used in this report provided by Real Data Strategies. Inc. Our<br />
company’s mailing materials are printed on paper certified by the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) as the product of sustainably managed forests. An<br />
independently owned and operated member of the Prudential Real Estate Affiliates, Inc. This is not intended as a solicitation if your property is currently listed<br />
with another broker.<br />
Detached Properties &#8211; Listings Taken and Absorbed &#8211; 12 Months through August 2009<br />
Attached Properties &#8211; Listings Taken and Absorbed &#8211; 12 Months through August 2009<br />
The number of attached property listings<br />
declined and sales outnumbered new<br />
listings in August. With 1,243 new listings,<br />
a robust 1,437 were absorbed.<br />
For the first time since December 2008,<br />
more homes have sold than entered the<br />
market. Detached home listings ebbed to<br />
2,047 in August from 2,141 in July, while<br />
closed sales leaped to 2,131 units from<br />
1,850 for the same period.<br />
New Listings Listings Absorbed<br />
New Listings<br />
Listings Absorbed<br />
With over 3,400 sales associates in 58 offices across Southern California and the Central Coast, Prudential California<br />
Realty is the name to trust when buying or selling a home. Our agents close more than $12 billion in sales volume and well<br />
over 16,000 transactions each year. We also provide every aspect of domestic and international relocation to corporations<br />
around the world. As one of the top five brokerages in the nation and the largest affiliate in the Prudential Real Estate<br />
international network, we have the resources and connections to protect your interests and make sure your experience<br />
is a successful one.<br />
Prudential California Realty is proud to be a member of HomeServices of America Inc., a Berkshire Hathaway affiliate.<br />
For more information, visit www.prudentialcal.com.</p>
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		<title>Housing Sales Are Climbing</title>
		<link>http://www.jimvermilya.com/housing-sales-are-climbing/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jimvermilya.com/housing-sales-are-climbing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 17:53:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[ Orange county
Market Overview a monthly real estate report &#124; September 09
Housing sales up for the fourth consecutive month
Housing Sales Are Climbing
The month of August began cautiously
with mixed economic news, but by
the end of the month, the outlook for
September housing was greatly improved.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported
that job losses were continuing, but at a
slower [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><ins datetime="2009-09-16T17:51:54+00:00"> Orange county<br />
Market Overview a monthly real estate report | September 09<br />
Housing sales up for the fourth consecutive month<br />
Housing Sales Are Climbing<br />
The month of August began cautiously<br />
with mixed economic news, but by<br />
the end of the month, the outlook for<br />
September housing was greatly improved.<br />
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported<br />
that job losses were continuing, but at a<br />
slower pace.<br />
Housing continued to improve, largely<br />
driven by the first-time home buyer<br />
tax credit. The National Association of<br />
REALTORS reported that July existing<br />
home sales jumped 7.2 % — the largest<br />
monthly sales gain since 1999 and the<br />
fourth consecutive month of growth.<br />
If the current rate of improvement in<br />
existing homes remains at a steady pace,<br />
from 9.8 months on hand in June to 9.4<br />
months on hand in July, the existing<br />
housing market could be balanced<br />
(on a national basis) in approximately<br />
eight months.<br />
On August 20, the Mortgage Bankers<br />
Association announced that mortgage<br />
applications were also up, as interest<br />
rates crept down to a five-week low,<br />
with purchase applications up for the<br />
third consecutive week. Among the<br />
reasons cited were the success of the<br />
first-time home buyer tax credit and<br />
price-to-income ratios falling below<br />
historical trends.<br />
Momentum in housing sales should<br />
continue, spurred by the end of<br />
first-time home buyer tax credits on<br />
November 30, 2009. With new banking<br />
and appraisal rules adding time to the<br />
typical closing process, first-time home<br />
buyers should open escrow by the end of<br />
September if they hope to close on time<br />
and qualify for these credits.<br />
Reasons to Buy Now<br />
The economy is improving<br />
The worst recession since the Great<br />
Depression may be winding down, said<br />
The Conference Board on August 20, 2009.<br />
The analysts found that leading economic<br />
indicators rose 0.6% in July, following a<br />
0.8% rise in June. That’s two consecutive<br />
months of improvement halting eight<br />
months of declines.<br />
While the indicators can certainly slide<br />
backward on new data, serious home<br />
buyers should realize the days of wholesale<br />
bargains may be numbered. This could<br />
explain why California entry-level prices<br />
are rising, and luxury home owners are<br />
starting to stick to their prices.<br />
Inventory is being absorbed<br />
We appeared to hit bottom during the<br />
second quarter of 2009. Since then we<br />
have seen a steady rise in closed sales.<br />
Existing, or pre-owned, home inventories<br />
are being absorbed and are close to a<br />
balanced market at 9.4 months of supply.<br />
At their highest during the recession, new<br />
and existing home inventories hovered at<br />
11 months on hand. A balanced market<br />
is approximately six months of inventory<br />
on hand.<br />
Average sales prices are starting to rise<br />
Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the<br />
NAR, says that improved affordability has<br />
driven sales, with first-time home buyers<br />
taking advantage of the tax credit. “The<br />
demand for foreclosed and lower-priced<br />
homes has spiked, and lack of inventory<br />
is becoming a common complaint,”<br />
he notes. In many Southern California<br />
communities, homes priced at or below<br />
conforming loan levels have little inventory<br />
on hand, allowing sellers to raise prices<br />
and entertain multiple offers.<br />
Advice for Home Buyers<br />
Since May 2009, Federal Housing<br />
Finance Agency appraisal regulations<br />
have slowed home sales transactions. The<br />
National Association of REALTORS®<br />
has found that 76% of its members<br />
reported delays in closing.<br />
As the first-time home buyer tax<br />
credit comes to a close, banks will be<br />
inundated with loan applications for<br />
an already narrow production pipeline.<br />
Home buyers should allow at least 60<br />
days closing, which puts some first-time<br />
home buyer loans at risk of not meeting<br />
the November 30, 2009, deadline if<br />
they are not in escrow by the end of<br />
September 2009.<br />
Advice for Sellers<br />
Price your home for today’s market, not<br />
what you think it will do in two or three<br />
months. Lenders are very cautious about<br />
appraisals.<br />
While demand is picking up, the<br />
percentage of foreclosures in the<br />
second quarter 2009 was the highest<br />
ever recorded by the Mortgage Bankers<br />
Association. The trade organization<br />
says foreclosures will continue to grow,<br />
peaking at the end of 2010 — placing<br />
continued pressure on pricing.<br />
To avoid delays in closing, make sure<br />
your home is in top repair and you have<br />
all your property disclosures ready for<br />
the buyer’s inspection. You may see some<br />
buyers still waiting for signs of a bottom,<br />
but motivated buyers will respond<br />
immediately to a well-priced home in<br />
great condition.<br />
ORANGE COUNTY<br />
Orange County is experiencing a seller’s market in affordable homes priced below $899K.<br />
Only homes priced above $900K are selling more slowly at nearly 13 months of inventory<br />
on hand, but that is far from the highest inventory in luxury homes in Southern California.<br />
Detached homes are single-family homes that share no walls with other properties. Attached homes have at least<br />
one shared wall, such as condos, duplexes, or townhomes.<br />
Attached homes are selling well below<br />
$699K, while those priced over<br />
$900K have nearly 21 months of<br />
inventory on hand.<br />
Detached homes are selling well below<br />
$899K, while those priced over $900K<br />
have nearly 12 months of inventory<br />
on hand.<br />
Detatched Properties &#8211; Inventory in Months<br />
Attached Properties &#8211; Inventory in Months<br />
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0<br />
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0<br />
The availability of near-same comparable<br />
homes makes list to sold prices somewhat<br />
closer, according to price per square foot.<br />
However, lower backup offers than closed<br />
prices indicate that buyers know there is<br />
plenty of room to negotiate.<br />
Detached home listings and sales volumes<br />
have grown exponentially since January<br />
2009, but sales volume has yet to<br />
overtake the number of new homes for sale<br />
that are entering the market.<br />
Active listings are priced much higher per<br />
square foot, supporting data that housing<br />
is selling much faster in lower price ranges.<br />
Higher pending and backup offers than<br />
solds suggest that buyers know a bottom<br />
when they see it.<br />
New Listings Listings Absorbed<br />
Detached Properties &#8211; Listing Taken and Absorbed &#8211; 12 Months through July, 2009<br />
Detatched Properties &#8211; List Prices Per Square Foot by MLS Status<br />
Attached Properties &#8211; List Prices Per Square Foot by MLS Status<br />
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600<br />
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400<br />
©2009 Prudential California Realty Independently owned and operated. Objective data used in this report provided by Real Data Strategies. Inc. Our<br />
company’s mailing materials are printed on paper certified by the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) as the product of sustainably managed forests. An<br />
independently owned and operated member of the Prudential Real Estate Affiliates, Inc. This is not intended as a solicitation if your property is currently listed<br />
with another broker.<br />
Attached Properties &#8211; Listing Taken and Absorbed &#8211; 12 Months through July, 2009<br />
Detached Properties &#8211; Listings Sold &#8211; 12 Months through June, 2009<br />
Detached home prices have trended<br />
downward for the last two years, but they<br />
rose in Q-2, 2009 for the first time due to<br />
attractive pricing.<br />
Sales volume in attached homes has<br />
outpaced new listings on the market since<br />
June 2009.<br />
With prices down sharply for two years in<br />
attached homes, the trend reversed itself<br />
with a price increase and sales volume<br />
spike in Q-2, 2009.<br />
Attached Properties &#8211; Listings Sold &#8211; 12 Months through June, 2009<br />
New Listings Listings Absorbed<br />
Avg Sales Price Listings Sold Units<br />
Avg Sales Price Listings Sold Units</p>
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